Risk assessment for community staking

Hi there!

Within the incredible advancements of Community Staking Module initiative it seems reasonable to determine risk parameters utilising the existing framework, based on current observed network conditions and suggest the bond curve structure(s) for upcoming mainnet launch.
Focused on this problem i’d like to share my recent research on Risk assessment for community staking (Sep 2024 update)

The gist of the research

Bond curve & fee level suggestion

For completely permissionless participants:

  • 2.4 ETH for the first validator
  • 1.3 ETH for any consequent validators

For Early Adopters (EA):

  • 1.5 ETH for the first validator
  • 1.3 ETH for any consequent validators

6% fee (Node Operator Rewards Rate) for all participants

Risk mitigation

Suggested bond & fee structure, provides:

  • Sufficiency for risk transferring of consequences of any operational mistakes
  • Cost of Attack for any intentional malicious being two times higher than actual consequences for the protocol
  • Bond curve form, incentivizing consolidation validators on one Node Operator, even for actors considering EL stealing, therefore drastically reducing reasonable stealing opportunities, and any possible consequences

Market alignment

Suggested values provide:

  • Amazing opportunity for all permissionless participants: +70% increased staking rewards for participants : +70% increased staking rewards for paricipants with 2.4 of capital, increasing to more than +100% staking rewards for participants with >5 ETH of capital (which is enough to run 3 validators)
  • Even greater opportunity to Early Adopters, with increase in staking rewards starting from +118%
  • Reasonable level of risk mitigation, suited even for extreme scenarios
  • Sustainable DAO fee level of 4% for the module
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